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Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Current Odds▼ 0.1% 24h
2%YES
·
98%NO
Total Volume
$4.5M
24h Volume
$1k
Liquidity
$295k
7d Change
-0.4%
Market ends: October 10, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 2%. Total trading volume stands at $4.5M, backed by $295k in current liquidity. Recent whale activity includes a $37k trade — sold No. The market resolves on October 10, 2026.
Price History2% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
no whale buys yet
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→Top Holders largest positions on this market
1End123No
$132.4kto win $134.6k
2bosshogNo
$62.7kto win $63.7k
395074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04No
$59.0kto win $60.0k
4forinnerpsandr1x11222No
$59.0kto win $59.9k
5momomNo
$56.7kto win $57.6k
6NotOverNo
$41.8kto win $42.5k
7AnjunNo
$40.5kto win $41.2k
8afdafdafdafdafdNo
$39.6kto win $40.3k
9TradeDoggo-EliteNo
$38.4kto win $39.1k
10PerpetualReversoCalendarNo
$33.0kto win $33.6k
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 2% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.