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Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Current Odds▲ 0.1% 24h
4%YES
·
96%NO
Total Volume
$4.0M
24h Volume
$2k
Liquidity
$412k
7d Change
-1.1%
Market ends: October 10, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 4%. Total trading volume stands at $4.0M, backed by $412k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on October 10, 2026.
Price History4% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
no whale trades detected yet
Top Holders largest positions on this market
$95.4k99.7k sh
$62.2k65.0k sh
$57.4k60.0k sh
$57.3k59.9k sh
$55.0k57.5k sh
$46.3k48.4k sh
$40.7k42.5k sh
$39.4k41.2k sh
$32.1k33.6k sh
$30.8k32.2k sh
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 4% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.