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Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Current Odds▲ 0.1% 24h
1%YES
·
99%NO
Total Volume
$1.4M
24h Volume
$765
Liquidity
$82k
7d Change
-0.3%
Market ends: October 10, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 1%. Total trading volume stands at $1.4M, backed by $82k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on October 10, 2026.
Price History1% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
no whale trades detected yet
Top Holders largest positions on this market
$48.0k48.4k sh
$962970 sh
$227229 sh
$10413.0k sh
$8110.1k sh
$7475 sh
$5050 sh
$5050 sh
$435.4k sh
$4141 sh
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 1% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.