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Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Current Odds▲ 0% 24h
1%YES
·
99%NO
Total Volume
$1.2M
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$55k
7d Change
+0.1%
Market ends: October 10, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 1%. Total trading volume stands at $1.2M, backed by $55k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on October 10, 2026.
Price History1% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
no whale trades detected yet
Top Holders largest positions on this market
$47.9k48.4k sh
$141143 sh
$13212.6k sh
$117119 sh
$99100 sh
$99100 sh
$99100 sh
$6868 sh
$666.2k sh
$6263 sh
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 1% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.