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Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Current Odds▲ 0.4% 24h
2%YES
·
98%NO
Total Volume
$1.3M
24h Volume
$243
Liquidity
$54k
7d Change
+0.7%
Market ends: October 10, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 2%. Total trading volume stands at $1.3M, backed by $54k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on October 10, 2026.
Price History2% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
no whale trades detected yet
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→Top Holders largest positions on this market
1TradeDoggo-EliteNo
$922to win $939
2Threadbare-SignalYes
$215to win $11.6k
3dontshowmynameNo
$196to win $200
4UbuntuTradingNo
$186to win $190
5LBZeroNo
$140to win $143
6Brown-GraffitiNo
$127to win $129
7plmrYes
$115to win $6.2k
864MGX75VLQNo
$98to win $100
9Helloworld452Yes
$82to win $4.4k
10AciliMeyvaSuyuYes
$76to win $4.1k
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 2% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.