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Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Current Odds 0% 24h
1%YES
·
99%NO
Total Volume
$1.2M
24h Volume
$139
Liquidity
$95k
7d Change
-0.1%
Market ends: October 10, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 1%. Total trading volume stands at $1.2M, backed by $95k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on October 10, 2026.

Price History1% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$48.0k48.4k sh
$194196 sh
$126127 sh
$125126 sh
$119120 sh
$119120 sh
$114115 sh
$102103 sh
$101102 sh
$8410.5k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 1% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.