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Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Current Odds 0.2% 24h
10%YES
·
90%NO
Total Volume
$2.0M
24h Volume
$100
Liquidity
$65k
7d Change
-1.3%
Market ends: October 10, 2026
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 10%. Total trading volume stands at $2.0M, backed by $65k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on October 10, 2026.

Price History10% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$43.5k48.4k sh
$2.0k2.2k sh
$1.7k16.7k sh
$698777 sh
$591658 sh
$551613 sh
7knradYes
$5425.4k sh
$408454 sh
$3633.6k sh
10a1a1Yes
$3573.5k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 10% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.