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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Current Odds 0.1% 24h
1%YES
·
99%NO
Total Volume
$258k
24h Volume
$62
Liquidity
$27k
7d Change
+0.1%
Market ends: December 9, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 1%. This is a smaller market with $258k in total volume, backed by $27k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on December 9, 2026.

Price History1% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$20.4k20.5k sh
$2020 sh
$203.9k sh
$122.4k sh
$112.1k sh
$99 sh
$71.5k sh
$71.4k sh
$61.2k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 1% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.