Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Market Overview
Traders are skeptical, pricing YES at just 44%, up 2.6% over the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $1.4M, backed by $2k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has climbed 5.5% and the market resolves on December 9, 2026.
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
Top Holders largest positions on this market
Related Markets
Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 44% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.