
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Market Overview
The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 16%. This is a smaller market with $424k in total volume, backed by $13k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on December 9, 2026.
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
Top Holders largest positions on this market
Related Markets
Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 16% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.