Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Market Overview
This market is essentially a toss-up, with YES trading at 49%, a sharp drop of 18.9% in the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $538k, backed by $35k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has fallen 15.9% and the market resolves on January 1, 2027.
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
Top Holders largest positions on this market
Related Markets
Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 49% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.