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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Current Odds 0.1% 24h
6%YES
·
94%NO
Total Volume
$2.4M
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$9k
7d Change
+1.6%
Market ends: December 9, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 6%. Total trading volume stands at $2.4M, backed by $9k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on December 9, 2026.

Price History6% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$19.3k20.5k sh
$3135.5k sh
$2033.6k sh
$141150 sh
$1372.4k sh
$871.5k sh
7JoENo
$8591 sh
$771.4k sh
$7580 sh
$641.1k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 6% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.