Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Market Overview
The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 13%, up 2.9% over the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $2.4M, backed by $11k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has climbed 3.5% and the market resolves on January 1, 2027.
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
Top Holders largest positions on this market
Related Markets
Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 13% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.