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Live32 outcomes

Brazil Presidential Election

Whale flow · 24h
$94k
36.9% of it on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · across 3 large trades
Total Volume
$116.5M
24h Volume
$233k
Liquidity
$9.3M
Outcomes
17 / 32
Event ends: October 4, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Event Overview

Brazil Presidential Election spans 32 possible outcomes with $116.5M in combined trading volume, 17 of them still trading. The current favourite is “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” at 63%. Whale traders moved $94k through this event in the last 24 hours. Prices update every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API.

Outcomes sorted by chance

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?63%Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?24%Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?9%Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?2%Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1%Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1%Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Person R win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Person U win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Person N win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Person Q win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Person O win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Person M win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Person V win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will another person win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Person Y win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Person X win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Person T win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Person P win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Person S win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Person W win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%Will Person Z win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%

🐳 Whale Activity largest trades across all outcomes

no whale trades detected yet

How to read a multi-outcome event

Each outcome above is its own market with its own YES price, and each price is the crowd’s estimated probability of that outcome. Because only one can happen, the percentages across all 32 outcomes add up to roughly 100%. Volume is the sum across every outcome, so it can exceed the money actually at risk — buying NO on one outcome is economically close to buying YES across the others.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.