← back to dashboard
Live
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Current Odds▼ 0.1% 24h
1%YES
·
99%NO
Total Volume
$1.1M
24h Volume
$1k
Liquidity
$130k
7d Change
+0.1%
Market ends: October 10, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 1%. Total trading volume stands at $1.1M, backed by $130k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on October 10, 2026.
Price History1% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
no whale trades detected yet
Top Holders largest positions on this market
1Severe-IdNo
$123to win $124
28nmNo
$122to win $123
3Distinct-PatrolNo
$118to win $119
4freezakuttNo
$104to win $105
5fsbrtrtNo
$44to win $44
6tiger555Yes
$42to win $8.4k
7FrulliFrullaNo
$42to win $42
8gjdtdkNo
$41to win $41
9Gigantic-FilmNo
$41to win $41
10plmrYes
$39to win $7.9k
1 / 2
Related Markets
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?3%Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?5%Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?1%Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?1%Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?1%Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?1%
Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 1% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.