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Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Current Odds▲ 0.3% 24h
2%YES
·
98%NO
Total Volume
$616k
24h Volume
$231
Liquidity
$82k
7d Change
+0.4%
Market ends: October 10, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 2%. Total trading volume stands at $616k, backed by $82k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on October 10, 2026.
Price History2% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
no whale trades detected yet
Top Holders largest positions on this market
1HaradwaithNo
$233to win $237
2UbuntuTradingNo
$205to win $209
3tiger555Yes
$172to win $9.3k
4knradYes
$120to win $6.5k
5Elias.ThornwellYes
$100to win $5.4k
6pm888888No
$92to win $94
7pm777777No
$92to win $94
8BirbasisNo
$49to win $50
988888stupidmoneyNo
$49to win $50
10JumongNo
$49to win $50
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 2% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.