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Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Current Odds▲ 0.3% 24h
2%YES
·
98%NO
Total Volume
$843k
24h Volume
$231
Liquidity
$86k
7d Change
-0.1%
Market ends: October 10, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 2%. Total trading volume stands at $843k, backed by $86k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on October 10, 2026.
Price History2% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
no whale trades detected yet
Top Holders largest positions on this market
1UbuntuTradingNo
$215to win $219
2peivon98No
$129to win $132
3Elias.ThornwellYes
$88to win $5.5k
4Rorschach-KovacsYes
$80to win $5.0k
5knradYes
$78to win $4.9k
6SharpMage9305No
$75to win $76
7atomicannieYes
$61to win $3.8k
8proxitipsNo
$59to win $60
9K-A-DyrovNo
$56to win $57
10tiger555Yes
$55to win $3.5k
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 2% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.