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Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Current Odds▼ 0.3% 24h
4%YES
·
96%NO
Total Volume
$797k
24h Volume
$822
Liquidity
$85k
7d Change
-0.1%
Market ends: October 10, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 4%. Total trading volume stands at $797k, backed by $85k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on October 10, 2026.
Price History4% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
no whale trades detected yet
Top Holders largest positions on this market
1garkeinNo
$1.3kto win $1.4k
2allenzzzNo
$498to win $519
3tsihkodiivesYes
$271to win $6.5k
4AztecaBullNo
$200to win $209
5Tony108No
$187to win $195
6Elias.ThornwellYes
$137to win $3.3k
7hanniphampaniYes
$136to win $3.2k
8cowcatYes
$130to win $3.1k
9ita770marYes
$105to win $2.5k
10MossBerg21Yes
$102to win $2.4k
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 4% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.