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Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Current Odds 0.1% 24h
1%YES
·
99%NO
Total Volume
$820k
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$57k
7d Change
-1.8%
Market ends: October 10, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 1%. Total trading volume stands at $820k, backed by $57k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on October 10, 2026.

Price History1% YES
0255075100Aug 13Aug 23Sep 2Sep 13
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 1% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.