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Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Current Odds▲ 0% 24h
1%YES
·
99%NO
Total Volume
$1.0M
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$74k
7d Change
+0.1%
Market ends: October 10, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 1%. Total trading volume stands at $1.0M, backed by $74k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on October 10, 2026.
Price History1% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
no whale trades detected yet
Top Holders largest positions on this market
1herdghNo
$65to win $66
2PaveRNo
$60to win $61
3tiger555Yes
$55to win $6.9k
4Nick92081No
$50to win $50
5tanyatheevilNo
$50to win $50
6BirbasisNo
$50to win $50
7ProNinja4212No
$44to win $44
8Elias.ThornwellYes
$44to win $5.5k
9ioukhmNo
$41to win $41
10Rorschach-KovacsYes
$40to win $5.0k
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 1% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.