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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Current Odds 0.1% 24h
13%YES
·
87%NO
Total Volume
$201k
24h Volume
$249
Liquidity
$13k
7d Change
+0.1%
Market ends: December 9, 2026
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 13%. This is a smaller market with $201k in total volume, backed by $13k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on December 9, 2026.

Price History13% YES
0255075100Jun 30Jul 10Jul 20Jul 30
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 13% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.