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Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Current Odds 0% 24h
11%YES
·
89%NO
Total Volume
$278k
24h Volume
$475
Liquidity
$100k
7d Change
+0.0%
Market ends: October 10, 2026
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 11%. This is a smaller market with $278k in total volume, backed by $100k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on October 10, 2026.

Price History11% YES
0255075100Jun 30Jul 9Jul 19Jul 29
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 11% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.