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Live15 outcomes

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Total Volume
$6.7M
24h Volume
$2k
Liquidity
$251k
Outcomes
15 / 15
Event ends: December 9, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Event Overview

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? spans 15 possible outcomes with $6.7M in combined trading volume, 15 of them still trading. The current favourite is “Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?” at 28%. No large whale moves have been detected in the last 24 hours. Prices update every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API.

Outcomes sorted by chance

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?28%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?27%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?20%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?13%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?5%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?2%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?2%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?1%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?1%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?1%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?1%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?1%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?1%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?1%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?1%

🐳 Whale Activity largest trades across all outcomes

no whale trades detected yet

How to read a multi-outcome event

Each outcome above is its own market with its own YES price, and each price is the crowd’s estimated probability of that outcome. Because only one can happen, the percentages across all 15 outcomes add up to roughly 100%. Volume is the sum across every outcome, so it can exceed the money actually at risk — buying NO on one outcome is economically close to buying YES across the others.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.