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Live71 outcomes
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Total Volume
$23.0M
24h Volume
$18k
Liquidity
$2.5M
Outcomes
20 / 71
Event ends: October 10, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Event Overview
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 spans 71 possible outcomes with $23.0M in combined trading volume, 20 of them still trading. The current favourite is “Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” at 11%. No large whale moves have been detected in the last 24 hours. Prices update every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API.
Outcomes sorted by chance
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?11%Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?7%Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?5%Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?4%Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?3%Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?3%Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?2%Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?2%Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?2%Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?2%Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?1%Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?1%Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?1%Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?1%Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?1%Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?1%Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?1%Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?1%Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AB win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AI win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person B win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person C win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person F win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person U win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AH win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person G win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person Z win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person J win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person R win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person H win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AU win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person V win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person Q win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AJ win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AM win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person A win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person W win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AG win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person S win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AE win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AT win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person X win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AS win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person N win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person Y win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AN win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person M win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AP win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person E win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person T win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person P win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AF win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AX win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person O win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AO win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AK win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AW win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will any other person or organization win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AQ win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person I win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person D win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person L win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AD win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person AL win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%Will Person K win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0%
🐳 Whale Activity largest trades across all outcomes
no whale buys yet
How to read a multi-outcome event
Each outcome above is its own market with its own YES price, and each price is the crowd’s estimated probability of that outcome. Because only one can happen, the percentages across all 71 outcomes add up to roughly 100%. Volume is the sum across every outcome, so it can exceed the money actually at risk — buying NO on one outcome is economically close to buying YES across the others.
Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.